---
title: "The Claim Ledger"
canonical: "https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/"
claims: 175
essays: 8
---

# The Claim Ledger

175 claims behind 8 essays, each checked against its primary source. Per essay: the belief it argues, the claim ladder with what each rung does not reach, the falsifier, every load-bearing claim with source, quote, locator, access date and status, and the claims struck before publication.

- [Everyone Got Safer. That's the Problem.](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/everyone-got-safer/) · 19 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/everyone-got-safer.md  
  Safety has two numbers: how often each system fails, and whether they fail together. The field has spent years driving the first one down while almost no dashboard reports the second.
- [Confidently Wrong](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/confidently-wrong/) · 11 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/confidently-wrong.md  
  The effort you're handing to AI was doing two hidden jobs. Skip them and you get faster, weaker, and blind to your own mistakes.
- [A Green Score Is Not Evidence](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/the-evaluation-inversion/) · 12 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/the-evaluation-inversion.md  
  A groundedness metric scored its best with the evidence removed. The way to tell whether your model is actually using its evidence is to change the evidence and watch what moves in the answer.
- [The Limit Said 10. The Loop Made 500 Calls.](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/the-limit-said-10/) · 34 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/the-limit-said-10.md  
  Your limit counts one cycle. The one that runs away is another. Here is how to tell them apart.
- [The Guardrail Your Agent Can Reach](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/the-guardrail-your-agent-can-reach/) · 20 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/the-guardrail-your-agent-can-reach.md  
  Most guardrails end up with an escape hatch. Check whether the thing you are constraining can reach yours.
- [The Average Is Nobody's Result](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/the-average-is-nobodys-result/) · 35 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/the-average-is-nobodys-result.md  
  Of 255 studies on AI-assisted colonoscopy, 21 split the result by who held the scope. They disagree.
- [You Cannot Try to Fall Asleep](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/you-cannot-try-to-fall-asleep/) · 20 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/you-cannot-try-to-fall-asleep.md  
  Sleep is only where you notice it first. Much of what matters works the same way.
- [Your Robot Coworker Is Still a Pilot](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/your-robot-coworker-is-still-a-pilot/) · 24 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/your-robot-coworker-is-still-a-pilot.md  
  Built, shipped, installed, working: four counts, quoted as one. Almost nobody publishes the fourth.