--- title: "The Claim Ledger" canonical: "https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/" claims: 539 essays: 22 --- # The Claim Ledger 539 claims behind 22 pieces, each with the source it was checked against and a label saying how far it was checked (Verified, Executed, Checked, Reported). Where a ledger has them: the belief the piece argues, its claim ladder and its falsifier. Claims removed before publication are listed with the reason. Licence CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/): reuse, quote or train on it, with credit and a link. All rows: https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/all.csv and /claims/all.json. - [AI Can Take the Practice Without Taking the Job](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/the-reps-nobody-counts/) · 67 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/the-reps-nobody-counts.md The practice that builds judgement can disappear while every junior keeps their seat. This audit checks whether it has on your team. - [Your AI Grader Is Only as Good as Its Answer Key](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/your-ai-grader-answer-key/) · 68 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/your-ai-grader-answer-key.md I went through 77 studies of AI graders. Without a verified answer key, they are least reliable on exactly the questions they can't answer themselves. Here is a five-step check on twenty items for yours. - [Amazon Shut Out Meta's Agent. Shopify Gave It Shop Pay.](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/amazon-shut-out-metas-agent/) · 33 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/amazon-shut-out-metas-agent.md Also this week: an OpenAI agent inside an Australian government portal, another supplier handing a big customer the right to buy its stock, and six calls I've put a number on. - [One Question for Any AI Model Headline: Can You Use It?](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/released-to-whom/) · 21 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/released-to-whom.md It may be in a mode you didn't open, on a plan you don't have, or kept for partners. Here's the check. - [Use AI to Learn Without Getting Worse at It](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/learn-with-ai-without-getting-worse/) · 70 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/learn-with-ai-without-getting-worse.md Answer-giving AI left learners worse off once it was gone. Three setups built to keep the thinking with you, and a way to check what stuck. - [Your Health Has a Dashboard. Your Relationships Don't.](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/your-health-has-a-dashboard/) · 10 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/your-health-has-a-dashboard.md One you schedule. The other you leave to a mood. - [You Can Win the Wrong Game for Years](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/the-wrong-game/) · 17 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/the-wrong-game.md You usually cannot tell whether you are playing the wrong game. Write down what would prove it, and by when. - [The Graph Looks Right. The Merge Is Where It Breaks.](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/where-agents-disagree/) · 19 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/where-agents-disagree.md A multi-agent graph can lose a verdict with no error and nothing turning red. The bug is one line in the state schema. - [Everyone Got Safer. That's the Problem.](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/everyone-got-safer/) · 19 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/everyone-got-safer.md Safety has two numbers: how often each system fails, and whether they fail together. The field has spent years driving the first one down while almost no dashboard reports the second. - [Confidently Wrong](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/confidently-wrong/) · 11 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/confidently-wrong.md The effort you're handing to AI was doing two hidden jobs. Skip them and you get faster, weaker, and blind to your own mistakes. - [A Green Score Is Not Evidence](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/the-evaluation-inversion/) · 12 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/the-evaluation-inversion.md A groundedness metric scored its best with the evidence removed. The way to tell whether your model is actually using its evidence is to change the evidence and watch what moves in the answer. - [The Limit Said 10. The Loop Made 500 Calls.](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/the-limit-said-10/) · 34 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/the-limit-said-10.md Your limit counts one cycle. The one that runs away is another. Here is how to tell them apart. - [The Guardrail Your Agent Can Reach](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/the-guardrail-your-agent-can-reach/) · 20 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/the-guardrail-your-agent-can-reach.md Most guardrails end up with an escape hatch. Check whether the thing you are constraining can reach yours. - [The Average Is Nobody's Result](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/the-average-is-nobodys-result/) · 35 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/the-average-is-nobodys-result.md Of 255 studies on AI-assisted colonoscopy, 21 split the result by who held the scope. They disagree. - [You Cannot Try to Fall Asleep](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/you-cannot-try-to-fall-asleep/) · 20 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/you-cannot-try-to-fall-asleep.md Sleep is only where you notice it first. Much of what matters works the same way. - [Your Robot Coworker Is Still a Pilot](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/your-robot-coworker-is-still-a-pilot/) · 24 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/your-robot-coworker-is-still-a-pilot.md Built, shipped, installed, working: four counts, quoted as one. Almost nobody publishes the fourth. - [The Difficulty You're Escaping Was Making You](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/difficulty-was-making-you/) · 9 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/difficulty-was-making-you.md AI can lift the effort out of almost anything you find hard. Some of that effort was the thing turning you into someone. - [Your Research Agent Cites Sources It Never Read](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/your-research-agent-cites-sources-it-never-read/) · 11 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/your-research-agent-cites-sources-it-never-read.md The same trap has killed pricing models and trading desks for decades. One move tells you if your number is next. - [Your Multi-Agent System Is an Org Chart](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/your-multi-agent-system-is-an-org-chart/) · 9 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/your-multi-agent-system-is-an-org-chart.md Cognition said don't build them. Anthropic said do. A year on, they converge on the one question that decides it. - [The Seven-Layer Agent Audit](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/the-seven-layer-agent-audit/) · 8 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/the-seven-layer-agent-audit.md Your agent is starved on one layer of seven. It is rarely the harness everyone argues about. - [Skills Are Package Management for Your AI](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/skills-are-package-management-for-your-ai/) · 8 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/skills-are-package-management-for-your-ai.md There are millions of agent skill files to choose from. The hard part is deciding which deserve trust, how to version them, and how to retire them. - [Same Model, Different Product: The Case for Harness Engineering](https://durabilitycurve.com/claims/harness-engineering-same-model-different-product/) · 14 claims · markdown: https://durabilitycurve.com/md/claims/harness-engineering-same-model-different-product.md Hold the model fixed and the surrounding harness can still move task success, cost and reliability. Here are the layers that do it.