Your metric is green. Should you believe it?

Pick the number you trust most. We will show you how it misleads you, the blind spot you are not watching, and the check that catches it.

Built for the essay The Stable Liar

The metric you trust most

Or start with one of these

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Reading 01 / 04

What are you seeing?

1 2 3 4 choose

Reading 02 / 04

How much is riding on it?

A number becomes a target the moment someone is rewarded for moving it. That is when it starts to lie.

1 2 3 4 choose

Reading 03 / 04

Can whoever moves it see it and adapt?

The essay calls this the capability probe. A nail factory cannot scheme about its weight target. A sales team, a trading desk or a frontier model can, and once the thing being measured can see the yardstick, pushing the number harder starts to backfire.

1 2 3 4 choose

Reading 04 / 04

Which of these do you already watch?

Select any you keep a real eye on, or none at all. What you leave unchecked is where the audit will point you.

Your audit of this metric

How hard to catch

Inversion

The check that catches itMonthly

BLIND

Do this

Keep this on the wall

Next: test a belief about it in the Structure Spotter Read the essay

Your metric is green. Should you believe it?

What are you seeing?

How much is riding on it?

Can whoever moves it see it and adapt?

Which of these do you already watch?

Inversion

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