Absorption rate

Dario Amodei named the two that matter: two exponentials, one for how fast models improve, one for how fast the economy can absorb them. The first is the capability rate. It belongs to the field, and you read it off a press release. The second is your absorption rate: how reliably you turn a new capability into a number your CFO or customer would recognise.

Published 28 June 2026 in How Long Until Your AI Edge Stops Paying?

Introduced 28 Jun 2026
1 other piece uses it
1 tool runs it
Law I: Bottleneck Migration

Each mark is a piece that uses the term, by date from the first essay (5 Apr 2026) to the latest (7 Nov 2026). Gold is the essay that introduced it.

01 · Introduced in

28 Jun 2026

How Long Until Your AI Edge Stops Paying? You adopted AI everywhere and it still didn't pay. The scarce layer keeps the money, until its clock runs out. Systems & Laws 2026·06·28 · 10 min

02 · Also in

1 piece

Every other piece whose text uses the term, oldest first, with the sentence where it first does. The list is read from the essays each time the site is built.

2026·05·02 Systems & Laws
Start Here: What Survives When The Surface Changes?
“Name the AI layer your advantage runs through, then set your absorption rate against our dated read of that layer's clock, and see how long the window stays open.”

6 minRevised 5 Oct 2026

03 · Run it on your own work

How long will my AI advantage last? The Two-Rate Diagnostic Free, in your browser · Two steps · about a minute

01 · Introduced in

02 · Also in

03 · Run it on your own work

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